DJT
1 deep-dive · 31 policy notes
What has moved DJT
15 dated calls from the policy coverage · 0 positive · 4 negative · 11 watch
- Negative2026-10-16inferred
Every successive disclosure keeps the conflict-of-interest story in circulation, and the Truth API litigation has already converted a revenue catalyst into a legal overhang
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 16 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-10-15
named. Trump Media's net loss widened to $712 million in 2025 from $400.9 million in 2024, Truth Social's user numbers are falling, a Fox News poll put approval at 36%, and San Francisco has sued over the $100,000-a-month Truth API calling it a "corrupt business scheme"
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 15 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-10-13
named. A withdrawn product filing removes the last identifiable B2B revenue catalyst from the story while the political asset that underpins the valuation is being re-rated down
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 13 Oct 2026 - Watch2026-10-08
The Truth Social platform is the president's own distribution channel for the milestone, but there is no direct revenue linkage to the accounts
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 08 Oct 2026 - Watch2026-10-06
No fresh corporate action; it remains the largest single holding
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 06 Oct 2026 - Watch2026-10-02
The meme-coin gala and the Trump Accounts programme keep a steady flow of Trump-branded financial product news in the tape. DJT separately carries the TAE fusion S-4 and the Truth API legal overhang
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 02 Oct 2026 - Watch2026-10-01
The S-4 is a procedural milestone that adds no revenue and dilutes existing holders roughly 50/50. It converts DJT from a social-media story into a pre-revenue fusion story — a longer-dated, higher-variance equity. The $200m already funded and up to $100m more is a real cash commitment
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 01 Oct 2026 - Watch2026-10-01
No forced-selling mechanism now exists for covered officials' holdings, and the President is explicitly outside the bill's scope. The company's value continues to trade on the Trump association rather than on disclosure risk
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 01 Oct 2026 - Watch2026-09-30
The tariff-revenue base is the funding claim behind the proposed "Trump dividend"; a refund event weakens the arithmetic without changing the political commitment
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 30 Sep 2026 - Watch2026-09-16
The ethics fight and the crypto-legislation collapse both keep the conflict-of-interest narrative on Trump Media, independent of operating performance
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 16 Sep 2026 - Watch2026-09-10
Truth Social is the distribution channel for these market-moving posts; disclosure scrutiny cuts both ways for the stock
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 10 Sep 2026 - Watch2026-09-09
Yield + oil squeeze hit high-multiple momentum names; Truth API legal overhang (Intercept/FoPF suit) still unresolved
Policy Pulse - Trump/US - 09 Sep 2026 - Watch2026-09-08
Merger clock + Truth API legal overhang + Sep 18 crypto-ETF decision; no new filing to trade
Policy Pulse - Trump/US - 08 Sep 2026 - Watch2026-09-02
11 near all-time lows; '40 Act pivot removes near-term catalyst; watch Sep 18 crypto-ETF decision date and any new filing
Policy Pulse - Trump/US - 02 Sep 2026 - Negative2026-09-01
3% on Sep 1: rising yields + oil squeeze speculative small caps; market cap $2.72B (-44% y/y)
Policy Pulse - Trump/US - 01 Sep 2026
Deep-dive research
Mentioned in Policy Pulse
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 16 Oct 2026
Two days from the Graham Act deadline there is still no Section 113(g) notice to Congress, leaving VLO, PSX and DAL on the right side of a licensed Russian diesel flow. Trump's pharma portfolio grew from $1.7 million to as much as $56.2 million as Medicare exemptions expanded, and the US-Mexico tariff deal stalled on the 25% auto and 50% metals levies.
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 15 Oct 2026
A 3.7% September CPI was followed by a 6.3% PPI, the biggest since 2022, taking October hike odds to a coin flip; Walmart, Lilly and Nike gained while CRWV, MU, WDC and ORCL were sold on data-centre debt. Five days from the Graham Act deadline there is still no notice to Congress, and Trump's August filing showed up to USD 25M of META bought on one day.
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 13 Oct 2026
Goldman beat on a 72% surge in equities revenue while JPMorgan missed its first quarter in three years. Trump floated a US diesel export cap five days before the Graham Act's October 18 deadline, hitting VLO and PSX, and Trump Media pulled three crypto ETF filings as DJT fell 5% on a 32% approval rating.
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 08 Oct 2026
Trump's August financial disclosure showed 517 trades including the largest single position of the month, up to USD 25 million of META, plus USD 1-5 million of SPCX notes bought two days before a national space transportation policy targeting 1,000 launches a year by 2030; completion of Trump Accounts auto-enrolment for nearly 70 million children is positive for HOOD and SCHW. The indefinite de minimis suspension reaches its October 22 compliance date, positive for LLY, MRK and PFE by removing personal-importation arbitrage and negative for WMT and TGT on per-parcel cost.
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 07 Oct 2026
Trump unveiled Anduril's USD 3.7 billion Arsenal-2 submarine shipyard at Sparrows Point with a Navy contract of up to USD 2.9 billion and announced a 40 percent US government stake in the operating subsidiary, a 15 percent lift to Virginia-class production capacity that is positive for NUE and STLD on naval steel while leaving incumbents GD and HII two-sided as a new component competitor enters. The August trade deficit widened to USD 105.6 billion, the widest since Liberation Day, on record imports led by semiconductors and nonmonetary gold, positive for NVDA, AMD and NEM. The IRS issued a staking safe harbour, positive for COIN and HOOD.
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 06 Oct 2026
Trump signed an Emergency Tax Relief on Diesel Fuel order deferring the federal diesel excise tax from October 5 to December 31 for highway use - a per-mile cost cut for ODFL, CSX and DAL rather than a supply fix, with pump diesel still at USD 6.32 a gallon. CBP opened CAPE Phase 3 today, releasing roughly USD 20.6 billion of IEEPA tariff refunds to about 3,700 court plaintiffs - a cash event for WMT, TGT and AMZN. The copy-trade signal of the session was PTC Inc, up 30% in a day on disclosed presidential holdings of up to USD 6.15 million, while the July filing's USD 5-25 million sales each of AMZN and MSFT remain the largest non-DJT equity exits.
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 05 Oct 2026
Trump stood up the Super Intelligence Force on Sunday - a White House task force chaired by DNI Jay Clayton, with FTC Chair Andrew Ferguson and Pentagon CTO Emil Michael, and a charter written to prevent overregulation - a capex-permission signal for NVDA, AVGO and VRT. USTR Greer said negotiated tariff caps will be credited against the Section 301 excess-capacity probe, the July disclosure showed $5-25 million sales each of AMZN and MSFT alongside a June buy of small-cap defence name EFOR, and $90 Medicare payments to 20.8 million beneficiaries plus a renewed $5,000 cheque pledge read as a transfer positive for WMT, DG and UNH.
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 02 Oct 2026
September payrolls came in at just 29,000 against an 84,000-90,000 consensus with unemployment at 4.2% and July revised into a loss, taking the October Fed hike off the table and sending Treasury yields tumbling from a 24-year high. Trump announced on Truth Social that Europe will release emergency diesel stocks, pushing Brent below $100 and lifting DAL, UAL, CCL and RCL while pressuring XOM and CVX. Greer closed the G20 in Milwaukee with no timetable for US-China tariff cuts, and the July disclosure showed Trump's team sold up to $25 million each of AMZN and MSFT.
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 01 Oct 2026
Trump Media filed the S-4 for its all-stock merger with TAE Technologies, turning DJT into one of the first publicly listed commercial fusion developers. The White House Super Intelligence order added no compliance burden on NVDA, AVGO and MSFT, while the Senate killed the Stop Insider Trading Act 53-47 and the July disclosure showed pure buys in SO and PSA. Boeing took a $20bn-plus Navy F/A-XX award against NOC, and Micron's blowout quarter lifted Nasdaq futures as Brent went back above $100.
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 16 Sep 2026
The Senate kills the CLARITY Act 49-50, sending COIN down ~10% and CRCL 8-11% and closing crypto's legislative route for 2026, while a 25bp Fed hike is 94% priced into tonight's decision with the 10-year at 4.995%. Trump's $1.4bn crypto income and the bill's blind-trust ethics clause made this a leader-trade story.
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 15 Sep 2026
Trump rejected Anthropic's AI slowdown call outright - 'whoever wins AI wins' - removing policy risk from the NVDA/AVGO/VRT capex trade even as the 10-year crossed 5% and hike odds topped 90% into tomorrow's FOMC. Canada's Section 338 product changes took effect today (ATVs and dairy in, road salt and cement out) and the Senate holds its 60-vote CLARITY Act test this afternoon (COIN, HOOD).
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 11 Sep 2026
August CPI matched at 3.4% y/y but core ran 0.3% m/m, holding September Fed hike odds near 60% and the 10-year near 4.95% - a headwind for NVDA, MU and INTC into ORCL's AI cloud beat. Trump's USD 5,000 dividend pledge costs an estimated USD 1.2-1.35 trillion (TLT risk, GLD bid) and Canada's Section 338 scope changes land September 15 (F, GM, STLA).
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 10 Sep 2026
Hot August PPI (headline +5.4% y/y, energy +4.2%, diesel +24.1%) and crude back above USD 100 pushed the 10-year to a 2023 high and September hike odds near 66%. Trump's top-9 energy holdings gained USD 1.5-4.4M during the Iran war (CVX, COP, XOM, OXY); Canada tariffs escalate to import bans on dairy, alcohol and motorcycles (F, GM, STLA, HOG) while aluminium bars and rods face 50% (AA).
Policy Pulse - Trump/US - 09 Sep 2026
Brent crosses USD 100 as the US destroys 5 more Iranian tankers and Iran threatens Gulf ports; Dow closes -628 (S&P -0.6%) into Thursday CPI with ~55% Sept-hike odds. BUY XOM/CVX/HAL, SELL DAL/UAL/CCL, watch SPY/QQQ.
Policy Pulse - Trump/US - 08 Sep 2026
Oil near USD 98 after US strikes on 3 Iranian tankers and Houthi hits on Saudi energy, plus Canada 15-50% retaliatory tariffs and 58% Sept-hike odds, drag the Dow ~600 pts on the first session back. BUY XOM/CVX, SELL DAL, watch X/HOG and DJT.
Policy Pulse - Trump/US - 02 Sep 2026
Brent tops $95 on Day 187 of the Iran war as US strikes IRGC targets; bond rout lifts 10-yr to 4.8%. BUY XOM, CVX, HAL, SLB; SELL DAL, UAL. Fed hike odds 68%.
Policy Pulse - Trump/US - 01 Sep 2026
Brent tops $92 as US-Iran fighting resumes (Day 186); supertankers struck in Hormuz. BUY XOM, CVX, HAL; SELL DAL, UAL. Fed Sep 16 hike bets, DJT -3%.
Policy Pulse - Trump/US - 28 Aug 2026
Trump disclosed 1000+ trades in June including LMT, NOC, GD, RTX, PLTR, NFLX, DIS. Also signed Lake America EO amid Canada trade war.
Policy Pulse — Trump/US — 26 Aug 2026
Trump invokes Section 338 for 50% Canada tariffs; New disclosure reveals SpaceX investment, heavy buying of HD, MA, V, BRK.B
Policy Pulse — Trump/US — 25 Aug 2026
Trump disclosed 1,051 June trades including Boeing same-day as Navy contract; US-Canada trade war escalates with 50% tariffs
Policy Pulse — Trump Stock Trades & US-Canada Trade War — 24 Aug 2026
Trump's June disclosure reveals 1,051 trades worth 8M-63M: sold META, bought BRK.B/V/MA/HD; DJT Q2 loss 38M; US-Canada 50% tariffs escalate trade war
Policy Pulse — Trump/US — 21 Aug 2026
Canada trade deal deadline looms with 50% Section 338 tariffs set for Aug 22; deal very close with auto tariffs potentially cut to 15%; Trump hosts crypto summit, DJT Truth API generating revenue
Policy Pulse — Trump/US — 17 Aug 2026
Crude climbs ~1.1% to ~$89.50 on the indefinite Hormuz blockade; July retail sales -0.6% pulls yields off highs ahead of Wednesday FOMC minutes — BUY XOM/CVX/OXY, SELL DAL/UAL/CCL; AI rally pauses
Policy Pulse — Trump / US — 14 Aug 2026
US threatens an indefinite Hormuz blockade; oil jumps ~2% toward a 6% weekly gain (Brent ~87-88, IEA cuts supply 4.3M bpd) — BUY XOM/CVX/OXY, SELL DAL/UAL/CCL; S&P pauses near record
Policy Pulse — Trump / US — 13 Aug 2026
AI rally carries US stocks toward records as oil eases (Brent ~87.7); Truth API hit by a First-Amendment lawsuit; S&P near record, Nasdaq 100 +1.2%
Policy Pulse — Trump / US — 11 Aug 2026
Trump Media posts 238M Q2 loss as its crypto bet backfires, but Truth API lands 10+ paying HFT clients (60-100K/mo) and BTC treasury tops 900M; Trump 'low-keying it' on Iran keeps crude near 90
Policy Pulse — Trump / US — 04 Aug 2026
Trump Media (DJT) -4% on 0M Q2 loss and delayed crypto-ETF; Trump warns Iran talks are 'last chance' as oil rebounds 1.4%. DJT Hold, energy bounces (XOM), airlines dip (DAL).
Policy Pulse — Trump/US — 28 Jul 2026
Trump Media's Truth API launches Aug 1 (DJT catalyst); KOSPI -10.8% on China DUV chip fears triggers AI rotation to software (GOOGL, MSFT); Iran ceasefire holds easing oil — BUY DAL, UAL, CCL. Full stock impact analysis inside.
Policy Pulse — Trump/US Watch — 23 Jul 2026
Section 122 tariff expires TOMORROW (Jul 24) — USTR missed replacement deadline, Wyden bill to repeal. Hormuz 12th night, Brent near 8. Generic drug tariff structural overhang continues. US retailers (WMT, TGT, COST, AMZN) biggest beneficiaries of Section 122 expiry.
Policy Pulse — Trump — 14 Jul 2026
Trump's $81B tariff refunds and new exemption EO signal shifting trade stance — tailwinds for mega-cap importers (AAPL, MSFT, LLY), crypto platforms (COIN, MSTR), and energy (XOM).
Policy Pulse — Trump — 13 Jul 2026
Trump signs aircraft Section 232 EO boosting US aerospace (BA, GE, RTX). Says US will get 'paid to guard' Strait of Hormuz — oil stocks up, airlines down. Crypto disclosure analyzed: .4B income invested in mega-cap tech (GOOGL, AAPL, NVDA, AVGO).