SAVE
1 deep-dive · 5 policy notes
What has moved SAVE
5 dated calls from the policy coverage · 0 positive · 4 negative · 1 watch
- Watch2026-10-13
Same fuel logic as the majors, but the balance sheet is the binding constraint on this name rather than the crack spread
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 13 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-09-11
Jet fuel tracks diesel; every week above USD 100 crude cuts consensus FY27 EPS
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 11 Sep 2026 - Negative2026-09-10
Fuel is the largest controllable cost; a USD 100+ tape with gasoline above USD 4.20 also compresses leisure demand
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 10 Sep 2026 - Negative2026-09-10
Jet fuel tracks diesel; USD 100 crude plus a hawkish Fed is the worst combination for unit costs
Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 10 Sep 2026 - Negative2026-09-09
Jet fuel at record highs; fuel is 30-40% of airline costs and the tanker war removes the near-term relief path
Policy Pulse - Trump/US - 09 Sep 2026
Deep-dive research
Mentioned in Policy Pulse
Policy Pulse - Trump/US - 09 Sep 2026
Brent crosses USD 100 as the US destroys 5 more Iranian tankers and Iran threatens Gulf ports; Dow closes -628 (S&P -0.6%) into Thursday CPI with ~55% Sept-hike odds. BUY XOM/CVX/HAL, SELL DAL/UAL/CCL, watch SPY/QQQ.
Policy Pulse — Trump/US — 17 Aug 2026
Crude climbs ~1.1% to ~$89.50 on the indefinite Hormuz blockade; July retail sales -0.6% pulls yields off highs ahead of Wednesday FOMC minutes — BUY XOM/CVX/OXY, SELL DAL/UAL/CCL; AI rally pauses
Policy Pulse — Trump / US — 03 Aug 2026
Trump cancels Iran strike, opens Hormuz talks — oil crashes ~6%. SELL energy (XOM, CVX, OXY), BUY airlines/cruises (DAL, UAL, CCL) and consumer.
Policy Pulse — Trump/US — 27 Jul 2026
US-Iran war pause holds — oil crashes 7%, S&P 500 rallies 1%. Brent at 85. Airlines/cruises reverse to BUY. Defence stocks dial back to HOLD. Fed week + Big Tech earnings in focus. Trump meets Netanyahu tomorrow on Iran trajectory.
Policy Pulse — Trump/US — 24 Jul 2026
Section 122 expires, replaced by Section 301 (10-12.5%) forced labor tariffs on 60 economies. Iran tariff EO signed. Hormuz crisis deepens — oil above $100. Generic drug tariff timeline begins. Stock impact: BUY oil/defence/retail, SELL airlines/cruises/generic pharma.