MRPL
0 deep-dives · 18 policy notes
What has moved MRPL
12 dated calls from the policy coverage · 4 positive · 6 negative · 2 watch
- Positive2026-10-19inferred
These are the state refiners that carry the Russian crude slate. The waiver removes a 100% duty on their *entire* export book as the price of buying discounted crude, which restores the optionality that made Russian barrels attractive in the first place
Policy Pulse - Modi / India Govt - 19 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-10-05
Indian refiners are the direct counterparties of the Russian crude discount. A top-five designation would, at minimum, force a substitution of the cheapest barrel in the slate and a step change in landed cost
Policy Pulse - Global - 05 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-02
The second straight fortnightly cut in diesel and ATF special additional excise duty is a clean margin transfer to product exporters
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 02 Oct 2026 - Watch2026-10-02
Same discounted-crude exposure as the PSU refiners, with Reliance the largest single buyer of Russian barrels
Policy Pulse - Modi / India Govt - 02 Oct 2026 - Watch2026-10-01inferred
Higher crude raises working capital and under-recovery risk while the export-levy cut the Finance Ministry notified on October 1 improves export product economics. India imports nearly 90% of its crude, so the net at $100-plus Brent is negative for the domestic marketing business ⚠️ inferred
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 01 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-01
A lower export levy is a direct margin transfer to refiners exporting diesel and ATF. Reliance and MRPL carry the largest export product exposure; the PSU refiners blend export and domestic books
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 01 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-09-30inferred
Refiners pay in dollars for a crude basket that averaged $117.4 a barrel on September 21 against roughly $66 across FY26; a weaker rupee compounds the marketing-margin loss without changing pump prices ⚠️ inferred
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 30 Sep 2026 - Negative2026-09-30
GRM gains from cheap feedstock are offset by the supply halt — Saudi Aramco's pause on Indian refinery deliveries removes the crude slate, not just the price
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 30 Sep 2026 - Negative2026-09-15
Retail prices held while crude and product costs surge — September marketing margins are near ₹ negative 5 per litre on petrol and ₹ negative 23 per litre on diesel
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 15 Sep 2026 - Negative2026-09-11
September marketing margins are running at ₹-5/litre on petrol and ₹-23/litre on diesel
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 11 Sep 2026 - Negative2026-09-11
A ₹-5/litre petrol and ₹-23/litre diesel marketing margin is a direct gross-margin hit for the quarter; the sector cannot pass through without stoking inflation
Policy Pulse - Ministries/Regulators - 11 Sep 2026 - Positive2026-09-11
Confirmed context. Discounted Russian crude at a 51% import share is a structural crude-cost advantage for the refining and marketing complex, even as product marketing margins are negative on Brent above USD 100
Policy Pulse - PM Modi / India Govt - 11 Sep 2026
Mentioned in Policy Pulse
Policy Pulse - Modi / India Govt - 19 Oct 2026
India's 100% tariff tail risk is gone: the Graham Act waiver removes the secondary duty that would have hit every Indian shipment, putting IOC, BPCL and HINDPETRO back on Russian crude without an export penalty, while WAAREEENER faces the one duty that was not waived.
Policy Pulse - Global - 05 Oct 2026
The G7 began a coordinated 100-million-barrel IEA release with a frontloaded diesel leg after Trump's export-ban threat, splitting the crude market - Brent near $101.5 against WTI below $90 and Murban at $110.80 - which is positive for DAL, UAL and INDIGO and negative for VLO and PSX. The Lindsey Graham Act's secondary sanctions on Russian-crude buyers could be decided by October 18, a live risk for RELIANCE, IOC and BPCL, while the US-Ukraine fund's first $30 million minerals deal and China's rare-earth suspension extension to January 2027 lift MP and USAR.
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 02 Oct 2026
India is in the final stages of approving a ₹80,000 crore Project-75(I) submarine deal with Germany to be built by MAZDOCK with ThyssenKrupp, while the MoD inked a ₹810.79 crore SAT-SAAW contract with BDL. September power shortages hit a three-year high at 560 million kWh, and the Section 11 order forcing 112 private captive coal plants to run flat out and sell into exchanges is now live — positive for COALINDIA, NTPC and TATAPOWER. September GST rose 14.7% to ₹2,03,521 crore but on a record-high import share, and RBI eased bank shareholding norms for mutual funds, insurers and pension funds.
Policy Pulse - Modi / India Govt - 02 Oct 2026
GOBARdhan, the ₹23,731 crore National Unified Scheme for Compressed Biogas approved by the Cabinet chaired by PM Modi on August 6, was launched on October 1 with a ten-year runway to raise CBG output tenfold to about 5 MMSCMD at an administered price of ₹2,110 per MMBTU — a structural positive for GAIL, IGL, MGL, ATGL and PRAJIND. The People's Plan Campaign 2026-27 launched on Gandhi Jayanti, PM Modi paid tributes at Rajghat and spoke to flydubai hero Captain Smit Machchhar, and Putin praised the PM's Ukraine peace effort. India's markets were closed for Gandhi Jayanti after an eighth straight weekly loss, the longest in 25 years.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 01 Oct 2026
G20 trade ministers endorsed a Milwaukee Framework on steel overcapacity as Greer put the MFN principle itself up for review, while a Section 301 overcapacity probe covering 16 economies including India remains the unexercised risk to SUNPHARMA, WELSPUNLIV and BHARATFORG. Brent went back above $100 on China's fuel-export halt, lifting XOM and CVX against DAL and CCL, the US 10-year held near 5.28% after its biggest quarterly gain since 1994, and Micron's blowout quarter drove a 2.9-3.3% Nikkei rally.
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 01 Oct 2026
The Finance Ministry cut the diesel and ATF export levy for a second fortnight, positive for IOC, BPCL and RELIANCE, as GST crossed Rs 2 lakh crore for a third month and the manufacturing PMI hit a seven-month high of 55.1. SEBI cleared corporate bond index futures for the NSE, the AMCA prototype RFP closed on 30 October with LT, BEL, BHARATFORG, BEML and DATAPATTNS named in the three shortlisted consortia while HAL did not qualify, and the rupee closed at 96.31 into a live RBI hike risk on October 7.
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 30 Sep 2026
The CGA put the fiscal deficit at 41.9% of the FY27 target with five months gone, the RBI reported a record $200bn net forward dollar book as the concessional FCNR(B) window closed, and SEBI's Pandey rebuilt FPI onboarding rails while confirming no exchange interoperability and no changes outside the CAS paper. BSE replaced Wipro in the Nifty 50, the Andaman offshore mineral auction returns on October 1, and SEBI's 215th Board rewrote PMS regulations for MOTILALOFS and BSE.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 15 Sep 2026
Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline is out for weeks, leaving Hormuz as the only channel and Brent above USD 107 - bullish ONGC and XOM, painful for IOC, BPCL, HINDPETRO and INDIGO. The US 10-year crossed 5% and sank the Sensex 778 points to 74,003.82, but the reverse-AI rotation finally fired: Nifty IT +2.19% led by HCLTECH, INFY and TCS.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 11 Sep 2026
Brent's surge to a USD 107.63 close (highest since May 19) and a hot 0.3% core CPI pushed the US 10-year to about 4.95% and the 30-year to 19-year highs - buy energy (XOM, CVX, ONGC), sell airlines (DAL, UAL, INDIGO). BRICS opens in New Delhi with CBDC payment links and critical minerals on the agenda, not a common currency.
Policy Pulse - Ministries/Regulators - 11 Sep 2026
NSE priced its IPO at Rs 1,700-1,785 (~Rs 22,562 crore, opens Sep 17, listing circa Sep 24) with the issue down about 15% - a re-rating trigger for BSE and ANGELONE. Record August SIP flows of Rs 32,297 crore and Rs 87.08 trillion MF AUM lift HDFCAMC and NAM-INDIA, while Brent above USD 100 drives oil-marketing margins to Rs -5/litre petrol and Rs -23/litre diesel (IOC, BPCL, HINDPETRO negative).
Policy Pulse - PM Modi / India Govt - 11 Sep 2026
Modi hosts the 18th BRICS Summit (Sep 12-13) after a bilateral with Putin covering defence, nuclear, fertilisers, critical minerals and railways: HAL is the one named company, with IL-114 and Sukhoi Superjet 100 local manufacturing expanded (BEL, BDL inferred). India's digital-rupee CBDC settlement push lifts HDFCBANK and SBIN; discounted Russian crude at a record 51% import share helps IOC and BPCL.
Policy Pulse — Global — 17 Aug 2026
Crude ~$89.50 on the indefinite Hormuz blockade + Wednesday FOMC minutes loom; India gets a sector catalyst from Modi's I-Day AI/defence agenda — BUY energy (XOM), SELL airlines; BUY Indian IT/defence
Policy Pulse — Global — 30 Jul 2026
Fed hawkish hold sends yields to 2007 highs. Hormuz crude +7%. Adidas -19% record crash. Apple Siri AI upgrade. Reverse AI trade continues benefiting Indian IT. FII buying ₹2,982 Cr.
Policy Pulse — Global Spillover — 27 Jul 2026
Global markets rally on US-Iran war pause — Sensex +776, S&P 500 +1%, oil crashes 7%. Indian refiners reverse from SELL to BUY. ONGC biggest loser. BEL strong Q1. Fed meeting + Big Tech earnings this week. Saudi strikes Houthis — Red Sea risk persists.
Policy Pulse — Global Spillover — 24 Jul 2026
Strait of Hormuz crisis at peak — 13th night of US strikes, Iran rejects ceasefire, oil above 00. Generic drug tariff timeline begins Aug 1. Section 122 expiry relief for importers. Stock impact: BUY oil/gas/defence/renewables, SELL airlines/refiners/generic pharma.
Policy Pulse — Global Spillover — 23 Jul 2026
INFY Q1: +12% PAT, guidance trimmed, ADR -4.85%. INDIGO: ₹238cr net loss on fuel costs (85% rise). CIPLA: -39% PAT. Hormuz: 12th night, Brent near 8. IOC/MRPL halt Iraq loadings. Section 122 expiry tomorrow benefits Indian IT/Textiles. ONGC gains, refiners bleed.
Policy Pulse — Global Spillover — 22 Jul 2026
US-Iran war enters 11th night of strikes; Trump threatens Iranian infrastructure. Hormuz closed — oil 5+, ONGC/OCD gain, refiners bleed. Trump generic drug tariff timeline hits TEVA, MYL globally. US-Jordan trade deal signed. Genesis B AI-for-science unveiled.
Policy Pulse — Modi / India — 22 Jul 2026
Nifty below 24,000 on Brent 5, IOCs halt Iraq oil loadings due to Hormuz (ONGC gains, IOC/BPCL/HPCL pressured). Trump generic drug tariff crushes Sun Pharma, Lupin, Cipla. Nestlé, Bajaj Auto shine on stellar Q1. Bandhan Bank -19% on RoA cut.