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1 deep-dive · 15 policy notes

What has moved BA

13 dated calls from the policy coverage · 4 positive · 0 negative · 9 watch

  1. Positive2026-10-12inferred

    The listed primes carry the largest foreign military sales backlogs, so anything that shortens the approval step improves the cadence of deliveries and cash conversion

    Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 12 Oct 2026
  2. Watch2026-10-09

    Sold on August 21; position management, not a view on the businesses

    Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 09 Oct 2026
  3. Watch2026-10-08

    Sold on August 21 (AMD and Church & Dwight in the USD 1-5 million band; the rest USD 500,001-1,000,000). Sells are position-management, not a view on the businesses

    Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 08 Oct 2026
  4. Watch2026-10-08

    US capital-goods exporters carry the retaliation tail-risk if the 300% threat converts into action

    Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 08 Oct 2026
  5. Watch2026-10-07

    No named platform award today; the signal is industrial-base capacity, not a new programme

    Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 07 Oct 2026
  6. Watch2026-10-05

    The defence cluster stays the most consistently traded presidential sector. No new defence purchase was disclosed in this cycle, but the defence tilt remains the portfolio's least ambiguous directional bias

    Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 05 Oct 2026
  7. Watch2026-10-02

    Managed trade" with China via the Board of Trade is the pathway that would matter most to aerospace and industrial exporters with large China order books. Nothing is agreed

    Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 02 Oct 2026
  8. Watch2026-10-01

    Canada's retaliatory posture and the US import bans on Canadian alcohol, motorcycles and dairy run through integrated North American supply chains. A Canada-India deal by year end is a separate and smaller channel

    Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 01 Oct 2026
  9. Positive2026-10-01

    A >$20bn Navy franchise award on top of the F-47 win gives Boeing two concurrent sixth-generation fighter programmes. The stock rose about 1.8% on the announcement. It is a decade-long revenue visibility story laid on top of a commercial recovery

    Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 01 Oct 2026
  10. Positive2026-09-30

    Aircraft and aircraft parts are named in the India-US $500bn purchase basket that the Milwaukee bilateral is meant to advance

    Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 30 Sep 2026
  11. Positive2026-09-30

    Aircraft and aircraft parts are named in the India-US February framework's $500 billion basket, which the Milwaukee bilateral is meant to advance

    Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 30 Sep 2026
  12. Watch2026-09-30

    The Transportation Secretary said he does not currently see a safety concern from the 737 MAX software issue — an overhang that is not escalating

    Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 30 Sep 2026
  13. Watch2026-09-16

    Defence and AI names appear in the disclosed accounts alongside the government contracts their agencies award — copy-trade interest, not a fundamental signal

    Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 16 Sep 2026

Deep-dive research

Mentioned in Policy Pulse

META:MSFT:NVDA:DELL:AMD:T:COP:CVX:ABT:NFLX:TMUS:VZ:AMT:CCI:SBAC:GOOGL:ADBE:MSTR:COIN:BA:HD:DDOG:PANW:MCD:CMCSA2026-10-09

Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 09 Oct 2026

Trump's August disclosure logged 517 trades, including a Dell sale on the same day he handed Dell a medal and Nvidia bought before he decorated Jensen Huang; Washington simultaneously froze Microsoft and Adobe out of the green-card PERM programme, and SpaceX's USD 8 billion spectrum buy hit T-Mobile, Verizon and AT&T while lifting tower REITs.

policy-pulseus-onlyleader-tradesdisclosureh-1b
META:T:COP:ABT:NFLX:CVX:AMD:CHD:BA:HD:TMUS:DDOG:DELL:PANW:NVDA:MSFT:MCD:CMCSA:TSN:SPCX:HOOD:SCHW:BK:STT:BLK:DJT:LLY:MRK:PFE:ABBV:TEVA:VTRS:WMT:TGT:AMZN:ETSY:FDX:UPS:AVGO:CAT:DE:AAPL:COIN:MSTR:DAL2026-10-08

Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 08 Oct 2026

Trump's August financial disclosure showed 517 trades including the largest single position of the month, up to USD 25 million of META, plus USD 1-5 million of SPCX notes bought two days before a national space transportation policy targeting 1,000 launches a year by 2030; completion of Trump Accounts auto-enrolment for nearly 70 million children is positive for HOOD and SCHW. The indefinite de minimis suspension reaches its October 22 compliance date, positive for LLY, MRK and PFE by removing personal-importation arbitrage and negative for WMT and TGT on per-parcel cost.

policy-pulseus-onlyleader-tradesdisclosurespace
DJT:NVDA:AVGO:VRT:SMCI:ANET:AMZN:MSFT:GOOGL:META:EFOR:PLTR:LMT:NOC:RTX:GD:BA:HOOD:UNH:HUM:CVS:WMT:COST:TGT:DG:DLTR:COP:XOM:CVX:VLO:PSX:MPC:DAL:UAL:CCL:RCL:NUE:STLD:CLF:LNG:SPY:QQQ2026-10-05

Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 05 Oct 2026

Trump stood up the Super Intelligence Force on Sunday - a White House task force chaired by DNI Jay Clayton, with FTC Chair Andrew Ferguson and Pentagon CTO Emil Michael, and a charter written to prevent overregulation - a capex-permission signal for NVDA, AVGO and VRT. USTR Greer said negotiated tariff caps will be credited against the Section 301 excess-capacity probe, the July disclosure showed $5-25 million sales each of AMZN and MSFT alongside a June buy of small-cap defence name EFOR, and $90 Medicare payments to 20.8 million beneficiaries plus a renewed $5,000 cheque pledge read as a transfer positive for WMT, DG and UNH.

policy-pulseus-onlyleader-tradesaidefence
NUE:STLD:CLF:X:WMT:TGT:COST:AMZN:HD:LOW:BA:CAT:DE:GM:F:STLA:SUNPHARMA:DRREDDY:CIPLA:AUROPHARMA:LUPIN:TORNTPHARM:WELSPUNLIV:TRIDENT:VTL:KPRMILL:ARVIND:GOKEX:PAGEIND:BHARATFORG:MOTHERSON:SANSERA:LUMAXTECH:APOLLOTYRE:TATASTEEL:JSWSTEEL:SAIL:JINDALSTEL:APLAPOLLO:JSL:WELCORP:HOOD:COIN:CRCL:TLT:IEF:XLF:JPM:GS:MS:BAC:CEG:VST:NEE:DUK:SO:GLD:INFY:TCS:HCLTECH:WIPRO:TECHM:XOM:CVX:OXY:COP:EOG:HAL:SLB:VLO:PSX:MPC:DINO:DAL:UAL:AAL:LUV:CCL:RCL:NCLH:IOC:BPCL:HINDPETRO:MRPL:RELIANCE:MU:NVDA:AVGO:AMAT:LRCX:KLAC:GOOGL:MSFT:SNPS:CDNS:HINDALCO:VEDL:NATIONALUM:HINDCOPPER:SPY:QQQ2026-10-01

Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 01 Oct 2026

G20 trade ministers endorsed a Milwaukee Framework on steel overcapacity as Greer put the MFN principle itself up for review, while a Section 301 overcapacity probe covering 16 economies including India remains the unexercised risk to SUNPHARMA, WELSPUNLIV and BHARATFORG. Brent went back above $100 on China's fuel-export halt, lifting XOM and CVX against DAL and CCL, the US 10-year held near 5.28% after its biggest quarterly gain since 1994, and Micron's blowout quarter drove a 2.9-3.3% Nikkei rally.

policy-pulsetariffsoilglobal-marketssection-301
DJT:CEG:VST:GEV:OKLO:SMR:NNE:BWXT:NVDA:MSFT:GOOGL:AMZN:META:AVGO:MU:PLTR:ORCL:CRWV:NBIS:VRT:TLT:SPY:QQQ:JPM:GS:MS:BAC:XLF:SO:PSA:DUK:NEE:AEP:EXR:CUBE:GLD:BA:RTX:NOC:LMT:KTOS:AVAV:RCAT:HOOD:COIN:CRCL:WMT:TGT:COST:HD:LOW:XOM:CVX:OXY:COP:HAL:SLB:DAL:UAL:AAL:LUV:CCL:RCL:NKE:ACN2026-10-01

Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 01 Oct 2026

Trump Media filed the S-4 for its all-stock merger with TAE Technologies, turning DJT into one of the first publicly listed commercial fusion developers. The White House Super Intelligence order added no compliance burden on NVDA, AVGO and MSFT, while the Senate killed the Stop Insider Trading Act 53-47 and the July disclosure showed pure buys in SO and PSA. Boeing took a $20bn-plus Navy F/A-XX award against NOC, and Micron's blowout quarter lifted Nasdaq futures as Brent went back above $100.

policy-pulseus-onlyleader-tradesaidefence
QQQ:SPY:NVDA:AVGO:AMD:MU:TCS:INFY:WIPRO:HCLTECH:TECHM:TLT:JPM:MS:BAC:GLD:XOM:CVX:OXY:COP:EOG:SLB:BKR:FICO:KMX:GO:DAL:UAL:AAL:LUV:CCL:RCL:NCLH:USO:VLO:PSX:MPC:HINDPETRO:BPCL:IOC:WMT:TGT:COST:HD:LOW:AMZN:MAT:HAS:BTU:ARCH:CEIX:GM:F:LEA:BA:CAT:DE:AGCO:MP:USAR:AREC:FEAM:TM:HMC:MUFG:SMFG:MFG:SUNPHARMA:DRREDDY:CIPLA:DIVISLAB:TORNTPHARM:ALKEM:BIOCON:LUPIN:AUROPHARMA:ZYDUSLIFE:GLENMARK:IPCALAB:PPLPHARMA:LLY:MRK:JNJ:PFE:ABBV:TEVA:VTRS:GSK:NVS:AZN:SNY:NUE:STLD:CLF:X:JINDALSTEL:SAIL2026-09-30

Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 30 Sep 2026

The G20 Trade Ministerial opened in Milwaukee on steel excess capacity, MFN erosion and forced labour - the same ground as the Section 301 tariffs under challenge at the Court of International Trade - while core PCE at 3.0% cut October Fed hike odds from 71% to 35% and eased the front end. Saudi Arabia restarted the East-West pipeline and Yanbu loadings, Gulf exports recovered to 23.3 mbpd with Brent near $103, and India kept 0% Section 232 tariffs on specialty drugs, supporting SUNPHARMA and DRREDDY.

policy-pulseglobalfedbojoil
MSTR:SPCX:NVDA:CRWD:DDOG:INTU:MRVL:AMZN:MSFT:META:NFLX:ORCL:IBM:COST:PEP:MCD:ACN:AMT:PSKY:ISRG:COIN:BUD:TAP:STZ:SAM:HOG:MO:PM:WMT:KR:TGT:ADM:BG:GM:F:STLA:LEA:APTV:CAT:DE:MAT:HAS:BTU:ARCH:CEIX:MP:USAR:AREC:FEAM:AAPL:QCOM:SPY:QQQ:FICO:JPM:MS:BAC:XLF:LAMR:PLD:O:SPG:TLT:XOM:CVX:OXY:COP:GLD:KMX:GO:NUE:STLD:CLF:X:TSLA:LLY:BA2026-09-30

Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 30 Sep 2026

Core PCE cooled to 3.0% and cut the priced odds of an October hike from 71% to 35%, sending short-dated yields lower and equity indices higher, while the Section 301 forced-labour tariffs - 10-12.5% on 86 countries covering 99.4% of US imports - went before the Court of International Trade and Trump credited a $15bn Iowa steel mill to his 50% steel tariffs. Canada's $1bn alcohol and dairy import ban is live, and the July 278-T showed 1,156 trades including Strategy bought at the 2026 lows.

policy-pulseus-onlyleader-tradestariffstrade
COIN:CRCL:HOOD:MSTR:MARA:RIOT:JPM:GS:BAC:C:TLT:NVDA:AVGO:MSFT:AMZN:GOOGL:META:XOM:CVX:OXY:COP:EOG:SLB:HAL:USO:DAL:UAL:AAL:LUV:CCL:RCL:NCLH:GLD:SPY:QQQ:DJT:PLTR:RTX:NOC:BA2026-09-16

Policy Pulse - Trump / US Watch - 16 Sep 2026

The Senate kills the CLARITY Act 49-50, sending COIN down ~10% and CRCL 8-11% and closing crypto's legislative route for 2026, while a 25bp Fed hike is 94% priced into tonight's decision with the 10-year at 4.995%. Trump's $1.4bn crypto income and the bill's blind-trust ethics clause made this a leader-trade story.

policy-pulseus-onlycryptofedleader-trades
BA:BRK.B:V:MA:HD:META:DJT:GM:F2026-08-25

Policy Pulse — Trump/US — 25 Aug 2026

Trump disclosed 1,051 June trades including Boeing same-day as Navy contract; US-Canada trade war escalates with 50% tariffs

policy-pulseus-only
JPM:SCHW:AAPL:MSFT:NVDA:GOOGL:AVGO:PLTR:LMT:BA:GE:HON:HOOD:BK2026-07-29

Policy Pulse — Trump — 29 Jul 2026

Trump's financial disclosure reveals 58M portfolio, 21,000+ trades. CNBC links JPM, Schwab, UBS as custodians. Copy-trade signals on AAPL, NVDA, GOOGL, PLTR.

policy-pulseus-onlyleader-tradestrump-portfolio
TSLA:F:GM:CAT:XOM:CVX:OXY:AAPL:MSFT:NVDA:TCS:INFY:WIPRO:SUNPHARMA:DRREDDY:CIPLA:TATASTEEL:JSWSTEEL:DIXON:AMBER:SYRMA:BA:GE:AMZN:LLY2026-07-15

Policy Pulse — Global — 15 Jul 2026

EU-US deal (15% ceiling) in effect, Section 301 deadline July 20, Section 122 expires July 24, USMCA enters annual review — TSLA, TCS, SUNPHARMA positioned across multi-tier tariff shifts.

policy-pulseglobaltariffssection-122section-301
SPY:XOM:CVX:OXY:DAL:UAL:AAL:BA:GE:LMT:GD:COIN:MSTR:XLK:QQQ:AAPL:MSFT:NVDA:AMZN:GOOGL:META:LLY:JNJ:PFE:JPM:GS:MS2026-07-15

Policy Pulse — Trump — 15 Jul 2026

Trump primetime address July 16 + Section 122 tariff expiry July 24 + pharma onshoring deadline July 31 create 9-day policy window — XOM, LLY, BA positioned for key outcomes.

policy-pulseus-onlytrumptariffssection-122
AAPL:MSFT:NVDA:LLY:JNJ:PFE:COIN:MSTR:HOOD:BLK:XOM:CVX:OXY:BA:GE:JPM:GS:TSLA:GM:F:FSLR:ENPH:DJT:SPY2026-07-14

Policy Pulse — Trump — 14 Jul 2026

Trump's $81B tariff refunds and new exemption EO signal shifting trade stance — tailwinds for mega-cap importers (AAPL, MSFT, LLY), crypto platforms (COIN, MSTR), and energy (XOM).

policy-pulseus-onlytrumptariffsrefunds
BA:GE:RTX:SPR:HWM:LMT:XOM:CVX:OXY:EOG:HAL:SLB:BP:SHEL:USO:DAL:UAL:AAL:CCL:RCL:SPY:GOOGL:AAPL:NVDA:AVGO:MSFT:AMZN:META:DJT2026-07-13

Policy Pulse — Trump — 13 Jul 2026

Trump signs aircraft Section 232 EO boosting US aerospace (BA, GE, RTX). Says US will get 'paid to guard' Strait of Hormuz — oil stocks up, airlines down. Crypto disclosure analyzed: .4B income invested in mega-cap tech (GOOGL, AAPL, NVDA, AVGO).

policy-pulsetrumpus-onlyleader-tradessection-232
PLTR:LMT:GD:NOC:RTX:GE:KRATOS:HON:HWM:TDG:AAPL:MSFT:NVDA:AMZN:GOOGL:META:AVGO:BA:XOM:CVX:DAL:UAL:AAL:CCL:RCL:HOOD:BK:STT:WMT:TGT:SPY2026-07-10

Policy Pulse — Trump — 10 Jul 2026

Trump's portfolio beats S&P 500 with 37.3% return; top holdings GOOGL, AAPL, NVDA, AVGO. Brokers bought $10M-$24M in defence stocks. Aircraft Section 232 probe launched. Spain trade threat via IEEPA escalates. USMCA non-renewed. AI E.O. 14409 signed.

policy-pulsetrumpus-onlyleader-tradesdefence