IOC
0 deep-dives · 53 policy notes
What has moved IOC
20 dated calls from the policy coverage · 9 positive · 8 negative · 3 watch
- Positive2026-10-19inferred
These are the state refiners that carry the Russian crude slate. The waiver removes a 100% duty on their *entire* export book as the price of buying discounted crude, which restores the optionality that made Russian barrels attractive in the first place
Policy Pulse - Modi / India Govt - 19 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-19inferred
Working capital and import bills are dollar-funded, so a 2% rupee recovery is a genuine reduction in the cost of the crude the waiver just made easier to buy
Policy Pulse - Modi / India Govt - 19 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-10-16inferred
These are price-controlled downstream buyers of crude, so an elevated Brent level compresses the marketing margin under the current pricing mechanism
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 16 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-10-16inferred
A Graham Act determination that bites forces refiners to substitute away from discounted Russian barrels into Atlantic-basin crude, which is an input-cost event independent of the BTA
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 16 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-16
named. The special dollar window meets their import requirements through the RBI rather than the spot market, which removes their marginal dollar demand from the price-setting flow
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 16 Oct 2026 - Watch2026-10-16inferred
State-owned refiners are the counterparties for the discount barrels and the RBI's special dollar window; a US-brokered substitution away from Russian crude raises their input cost even as it removes the tariff tail-risk
Policy Pulse - Modi / India Govt - 16 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-10-15
traded. These three refiners are the mechanism through which Russian crude reaches India, and a duty that attaches only to purchases made on or after the deadline is a direct disincentive to the discounted-barrel trade that underpins their gross refining margins
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 15 Oct 2026 - Watch2026-10-15
traded. A dedicated dollar window removes the refiners from the spot market at the margin and eases the working-capital cost of crude purchases, though it does not change refining margins
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 15 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-10-13
Losing a discount that has run at tens of dollars a barrel is a direct feedstock-cost increase for refiners that import about 85% of their crude, with the rupee and freight adding to it
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 13 Oct 2026 - Watch2026-10-13inferred
A $104-106 Brent with a recovering rupee is a mixed input for Indian refiners, while the same price supports upstream realisations
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 13 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-10-12
India imports about 85% of its crude, so a $106 Brent with a weak rupee hits the three state refiners' product cost and working-capital line directly
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 12 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-12
named. The RBI is the direct counterparty for their entire daily dollar requirement from October 12, removing execution friction on the single largest recurring cost line for the three state refiners
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 12 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-09
Cheaper crude improves the import bill and marketing margins for the oil-marketing companies; the Nifty Oil & Gas index was the sole sectoral laggard on the day
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 09 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-10-08inferred
India imports the bulk of its crude; sustained prices above USD 100 compress marketing margins and force inventory losses unless retail prices are raised
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 08 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-10-07
Every dollar above USD 100 on Brent is a marketing-margin loss for state refiners that cannot pass the full cost into retail prices
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 07 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-06
Every dollar off Brent lowers the crude import bill and inventory valuation losses for state refiners
Policy Pulse - Global - 06 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-10-06
The same forecasts are the risk case for the refiners' input cost
Policy Pulse - Global - 06 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-06
India-NZ FTA and Gulf diversification reduce landed crude and product cost volatility
Policy Pulse - Global - 06 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-06
Crude sourcing optionality outside the Gulf reduces landed cost volatility and freight risk
Policy Pulse - Modi / India Govt - 06 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-05
Indian state refiners are net crude buyers. Improving supply availability and a WTI break below $90 reduce landed cost and working capital, and lower the odds of another windfall-tax rise
Policy Pulse - Global - 05 Oct 2026
Mentioned in Policy Pulse
Policy Pulse - Modi / India Govt - 19 Oct 2026
India's 100% tariff tail risk is gone: the Graham Act waiver removes the secondary duty that would have hit every Indian shipment, putting IOC, BPCL and HINDPETRO back on Russian crude without an export penalty, while WAAREEENER faces the one duty that was not waived.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 16 Oct 2026
MSCI proposed reclassifying Indonesia as a Standalone Market and the Jakarta Composite fell 11.1%, its worst day since 1998, pushing flows toward TCS, INFY and HDFCBANK as the cleaner emerging-market exposure. France and Germany agreed to soften the EU's 2035 combustion-engine ban, and the KOSPI rebounded 2.1%.
Policy Pulse - Modi / India Govt - 16 Oct 2026
PM Modi's 2036 Olympics ambition was priced the next morning at Rs 7,386.74 crore: the Sports Ministry raised event-hosting aid from Rs 2 crore to up to Rs 50 crore, mapping to LT and ULTRACEMCO. Rubio lands in Jamnagar, the RELIANCE refinery complex, two days after the Graham Act deadline.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 15 Oct 2026
The KOSPI fell 7.57% with circuit breakers on both Korean boards and the Nikkei lost 4.90%, hitting MU, WDC and CRWV on Anthropic's decelerating growth and CoreWeave's bond selloff. India diverged as Nifty IT rose 1.82%, lifting TCS, INFY and TECHM, while IOC and BPCL stay exposed to the Graham Act's five-day deadline.
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 15 Oct 2026
The CCEA cleared the Rs 52,878 crore sale of a 60.72% IDBI Bank stake to Fairfax at Rs 81 a share and IDBI fell 7%, while the Supreme Court quashed Yes Bank's Rs 8,415 crore AT1 write-off and YESBANK fell 12.68%. Jio Platforms priced India's largest IPO at Rs 1,065-1,119, lifting RELIANCE 3.44% and BSE 2.70%.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 13 Oct 2026
China's CXMT claimed a 4F2 DRAM design and the KOSPI fell 5.46%, hitting MU, AVGO and INTC while re-rating TCS, INFY and HCLTECH through Nifty IT's 5.22% gain. Five days out, the Graham Act had still produced no notice to Congress, leaving IOC, BPCL, ONGC and Sun Pharma exposed on the Indian side.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 12 Oct 2026
Brent topped USD 106 after a second deadly strike on Riyadh's airport and a tanker hit at Hormuz, positive for XOM, CVX and VLO and negative for DAL, UAL and IOC. Trump's Russian diesel deal capped the spike instead of reversing it, gold held near USD 4,180 with the US 30-year at 24-year highs, and Canada sent its largest trade mission to India in 30 years to push a trade deal.
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 12 Oct 2026
The RBI will meet the entire daily dollar requirement of IOC, BPCL and HINDPETRO from October 12 and imposed a 20% cash reserve on rupee-linked FX derivatives above USD 2 million, its most decisive rupee-defence package since 2013, with the currency up 0.99% to 95.77. September CPI hit 5.54%, the highest since October 2024 and negative for BAJFINANCE and DLF, while HCLTech beat with profit up 21% and record SIP flows lifted HDFCAMC and CAMS.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 09 Oct 2026
Brent slipped to about USD 103 after Trump ruled out an Iran strike before the November 3 midterms, negative for XOM and CVX and positive for airlines and Indian oil marketers; a strong 30-year auction pulled the US long end back from a 24-year high; and the US-China 30-for-30 tariff lists named toys and appliances and medical devices, with the truce extended to January 10, 2027.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 08 Oct 2026
Brent rose 4.25 percent to USD 104.5 after Axios reported the Pentagon has been told to prepare for a possible resumption of major combat operations in Iran and Tropical Storm Isaias shut in a quarter of Gulf of Mexico output, positive for XOM, CVX and ONGC and negative for DAL, IOC and BPCL; hawkish September FOMC minutes kept the 10-year near 5.28 percent and the 30-year at 2002 levels, and India joined the US-led 15-country excess-capacity initiative while a Section 301 investigation into India's own industrial policies remains live.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 07 Oct 2026
The EIA raised its 2026 Brent forecast 8 percent to about USD 98 and lifted Q4 2026 to USD 105 with 4.5 million barrels per day still shut in, positive for XOM, CVX and ONGC and negative for DAL, UAL and Indian refiners IOC and BPCL. The 30-year Treasury yield held near its highest since 2002 with the September FOMC minutes due tonight and CME pricing an October hike near 20 percent, while French OAT yields kept rising and the euro sat near a 17-month low. Spot gold above USD 4,167 with the rupee at a five-month low of 97.03 is a translation positive for TCS and INFY and an input-cost negative for TITAN and MRF.
Policy Pulse - Global - 06 Oct 2026
Brent fell back below USD 100 to USD 98.33 as Hormuz transits and the Saudi East-West pipeline recovered and the G7's 100-million-barrel release began flowing - a cost tailwind for IOC, BPCL and INDIGO and a headwind for ONGC and XOM. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq printed new records on Tuesday as the 10-year Treasury eased to 5.26% from a 19-year high of 5.35%, the euro hit a 17-month low on French fiscal stress, and BMI Research raised its Q4 2026 Brent forecast to USD 107 a barrel while Kenanga went to USD 91 for 2026.
Policy Pulse - Modi / India Govt - 06 Oct 2026
The Cabinet approved a Rs 10,000 crore SME Growth Fund to supply patient growth equity to high-potential SMEs - BSE, SBIN and CHOLAFIN are the inferred beneficiaries - and cleared the Integrated Transport and Logistics Authority as an SPV that will write a long-term National Transport Plan and appraise every government infrastructure project worth Rs 500 crore or more, a positive read-through for LT, IRB and CONCOR. The World Bank raised India's FY27 growth forecast 50 basis points to 7.1%, and the primary market stayed open with SRIT India listing at a 13.85% premium while AceVector debuted at an 11.5% discount.
Policy Pulse - Global - 05 Oct 2026
The G7 began a coordinated 100-million-barrel IEA release with a frontloaded diesel leg after Trump's export-ban threat, splitting the crude market - Brent near $101.5 against WTI below $90 and Murban at $110.80 - which is positive for DAL, UAL and INDIGO and negative for VLO and PSX. The Lindsey Graham Act's secondary sanctions on Russian-crude buyers could be decided by October 18, a live risk for RELIANCE, IOC and BPCL, while the US-Ukraine fund's first $30 million minerals deal and China's rare-earth suspension extension to January 2027 lift MP and USAR.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 02 Oct 2026
A 29,000 US payroll print against a 90,000 consensus removed the October Fed hike and reversed the global bond selloff that had driven the 10-year Treasury to a 24-year high — a positive for TCS, INFY and QQQ and a relief valve for emerging markets. Trump said Europe agreed to release emergency diesel stocks, sending Brent below $100 and lifting DAL, UAL, CCL and RCL while pressuring XOM and CVX, even as the Iran ceasefire expired and three Hormuz tankers were struck. G20 Milwaukee produced a steel framework and no China tariff timetable, French spreads hit their widest over Germany since 2012, and Micron's blowout quarter drove a memory-led Asian relief rally.
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 02 Oct 2026
India is in the final stages of approving a ₹80,000 crore Project-75(I) submarine deal with Germany to be built by MAZDOCK with ThyssenKrupp, while the MoD inked a ₹810.79 crore SAT-SAAW contract with BDL. September power shortages hit a three-year high at 560 million kWh, and the Section 11 order forcing 112 private captive coal plants to run flat out and sell into exchanges is now live — positive for COALINDIA, NTPC and TATAPOWER. September GST rose 14.7% to ₹2,03,521 crore but on a record-high import share, and RBI eased bank shareholding norms for mutual funds, insurers and pension funds.
Policy Pulse - Modi / India Govt - 02 Oct 2026
GOBARdhan, the ₹23,731 crore National Unified Scheme for Compressed Biogas approved by the Cabinet chaired by PM Modi on August 6, was launched on October 1 with a ten-year runway to raise CBG output tenfold to about 5 MMSCMD at an administered price of ₹2,110 per MMBTU — a structural positive for GAIL, IGL, MGL, ATGL and PRAJIND. The People's Plan Campaign 2026-27 launched on Gandhi Jayanti, PM Modi paid tributes at Rajghat and spoke to flydubai hero Captain Smit Machchhar, and Putin praised the PM's Ukraine peace effort. India's markets were closed for Gandhi Jayanti after an eighth straight weekly loss, the longest in 25 years.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 01 Oct 2026
G20 trade ministers endorsed a Milwaukee Framework on steel overcapacity as Greer put the MFN principle itself up for review, while a Section 301 overcapacity probe covering 16 economies including India remains the unexercised risk to SUNPHARMA, WELSPUNLIV and BHARATFORG. Brent went back above $100 on China's fuel-export halt, lifting XOM and CVX against DAL and CCL, the US 10-year held near 5.28% after its biggest quarterly gain since 1994, and Micron's blowout quarter drove a 2.9-3.3% Nikkei rally.
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 01 Oct 2026
The Finance Ministry cut the diesel and ATF export levy for a second fortnight, positive for IOC, BPCL and RELIANCE, as GST crossed Rs 2 lakh crore for a third month and the manufacturing PMI hit a seven-month high of 55.1. SEBI cleared corporate bond index futures for the NSE, the AMCA prototype RFP closed on 30 October with LT, BEL, BHARATFORG, BEML and DATAPATTNS named in the three shortlisted consortia while HAL did not qualify, and the rupee closed at 96.31 into a live RBI hike risk on October 7.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 30 Sep 2026
The G20 Trade Ministerial opened in Milwaukee on steel excess capacity, MFN erosion and forced labour - the same ground as the Section 301 tariffs under challenge at the Court of International Trade - while core PCE at 3.0% cut October Fed hike odds from 71% to 35% and eased the front end. Saudi Arabia restarted the East-West pipeline and Yanbu loadings, Gulf exports recovered to 23.3 mbpd with Brent near $103, and India kept 0% Section 232 tariffs on specialty drugs, supporting SUNPHARMA and DRREDDY.
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 30 Sep 2026
The CGA put the fiscal deficit at 41.9% of the FY27 target with five months gone, the RBI reported a record $200bn net forward dollar book as the concessional FCNR(B) window closed, and SEBI's Pandey rebuilt FPI onboarding rails while confirming no exchange interoperability and no changes outside the CAS paper. BSE replaced Wipro in the Nifty 50, the Andaman offshore mineral auction returns on October 1, and SEBI's 215th Board rewrote PMS regulations for MOTILALOFS and BSE.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 16 Sep 2026
Brent held above USD 108 after Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline went offline, the Fed is set to deliver its first hike since 2023 with a 25bp move 94% priced, and the BoJ meets September 17-18 expected to lift rates to a 31-year high of 1.25%. ONGC and OIL gain on the crude bid while IOC, BPCL and HINDPETRO absorb negative marketing margins.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 15 Sep 2026
Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline is out for weeks, leaving Hormuz as the only channel and Brent above USD 107 - bullish ONGC and XOM, painful for IOC, BPCL, HINDPETRO and INDIGO. The US 10-year crossed 5% and sank the Sensex 778 points to 74,003.82, but the reverse-AI rotation finally fired: Nifty IT +2.19% led by HCLTECH, INFY and TCS.
Policy Pulse - Ministries/Regulators - 15 Sep 2026
The RBI rejected Tata Sons' CIC surrender on September 11, putting the Rs 2.01 lakh crore holding company on a mandatory listing path - a generational fee event for BSE, ANGELONE and MOTILALOFS. August CPI hit an 8-month high of 4.82% and WPI 9.92% (IOC, BPCL, HINDPETRO pressure) while NHAI debarred PNCINFRA for three years, sending it down 20%.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 11 Sep 2026
Brent's surge to a USD 107.63 close (highest since May 19) and a hot 0.3% core CPI pushed the US 10-year to about 4.95% and the 30-year to 19-year highs - buy energy (XOM, CVX, ONGC), sell airlines (DAL, UAL, INDIGO). BRICS opens in New Delhi with CBDC payment links and critical minerals on the agenda, not a common currency.
Policy Pulse - Ministries/Regulators - 11 Sep 2026
NSE priced its IPO at Rs 1,700-1,785 (~Rs 22,562 crore, opens Sep 17, listing circa Sep 24) with the issue down about 15% - a re-rating trigger for BSE and ANGELONE. Record August SIP flows of Rs 32,297 crore and Rs 87.08 trillion MF AUM lift HDFCAMC and NAM-INDIA, while Brent above USD 100 drives oil-marketing margins to Rs -5/litre petrol and Rs -23/litre diesel (IOC, BPCL, HINDPETRO negative).
Policy Pulse - PM Modi / India Govt - 11 Sep 2026
Modi hosts the 18th BRICS Summit (Sep 12-13) after a bilateral with Putin covering defence, nuclear, fertilisers, critical minerals and railways: HAL is the one named company, with IL-114 and Sukhoi Superjet 100 local manufacturing expanded (BEL, BDL inferred). India's digital-rupee CBDC settlement push lifts HDFCBANK and SBIN; discounted Russian crude at a record 51% import share helps IOC and BPCL.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 10 Sep 2026
ECB hikes 25bp to a 2.50% deposit rate, its second hike of 2026, blaming Middle East energy costs. Brent holds above USD 100-102 after the US sank five Iranian tankers and Iran struck 10 vessels, with Hormuz flows below 2 mbpd. Buy energy (XOM, CVX, OXY, VLO), sell airlines (DAL, UAL) and India's OMCs (IOC, BPCL, HINDPETRO); ONGC benefits.
Policy Pulse - Global - 09 Sep 2026
Day 194: Brent tops USD 100 as the tanker war widens (5 more tankers destroyed, Iran threatens Gulf ports). India: Sensex -813 to a 3-month low, IT -3%, rupee 95.08; metals and energy gain. BUY ONGC/OIL/XOM, SELL IOC/INDIGO/DAL.
Policy Pulse - Global - 08 Sep 2026
Day 193 of Hormuz conflict: US strikes on 3 Iranian tankers and Houthi attacks on Saudi energy push Brent to ~USD 98; Goldman lifts Brent to USD 85 (Dec-26), disruptions seen into 2027. Rupee -0.35% to 94.81; BUY ONGC/OIL, SELL IOC/BPCL/INDIGO.
Policy Pulse - Global - 04 Sep 2026
Asia rallies Friday (Nikkei back above 65,000, Kospi +1.6%) on Waller hold hopes; then US jobs beat lifts Sept hike odds to 63%. Brent ~USD 95 on Day 189. India snaps 4-day fall: Sensex +363, metals/financials lead.
Policy Pulse - Global - 03 Sep 2026
Day 188: Brent tops USD 97, touches USD 99 - BUY XOM, ONGC; SELL DAL, INDIGO. Asia mixed (KOSPI rebounds). US hike odds slide to 54%. Sensex -417, Bank Nifty +0.36%, rupee 94.59.
Policy Pulse - Global - 02 Sep 2026
Global risk-off Day 187: KOSPI -4%, Nikkei -2.9%, bond rout (US 10-yr 4.8%, JGB 3%). Brent $95. India Sensex -374 but FIIs net buy Rs 6,688 cr. BUY ONGC, COALINDIA; SELL INDIGO, WIPRO.
Policy Pulse - Global - 01 Sep 2026
Brent +2% to $92 on Hormuz re-escalation (Day 186); India Q1 GDP 7.8% beats all forecasts; Fed hike bets. BUY XOM, ONGC; SELL DAL, INDIGO.
Policy Pulse — Global — 17 Aug 2026
Crude ~$89.50 on the indefinite Hormuz blockade + Wednesday FOMC minutes loom; India gets a sector catalyst from Modi's I-Day AI/defence agenda — BUY energy (XOM), SELL airlines; BUY Indian IT/defence
Policy Pulse — Global — 14 Aug 2026
US indefinite-Hormuz-blockade threat + IEA supply cut (4.3M bpd) fuel a ~6% weekly oil rally — BUY XOM/CVX/OXY, SELL DAL/UAL; India refiners under pressure as rupee dips; only a signed deal flips the trade
Policy Pulse — Global — 11 Aug 2026
Hormuz 'honeymoon' over - crude rallies to 88-90 as US-Iran deal hopes fade (possible 120-140 tipping point into Q4); markets camp at highs ahead of Aug 12 US CPI; pharma/IT cushion Indian dip
Policy Pulse — Global — 10 Aug 2026
Three global threads: US critical-minerals spend reprices rare-earth/magnet supply chain; Hormuz close-but-not-signed keeps crude two-way (Brent ~83.5); soft US jobs data lifts rate-cut trade ahead of Aug 12 CPI
Policy Pulse — Global — 07 Aug 2026
US polysilicon tariffs reshuffle global solar (SELL China c-Si exporters JKS/LONGI, BUY FSLR/SEDG); crude stays two-way as Hormuz deal is 'close but not signed'. India refiners/airlines benefit from softer crude.
Policy Pulse — Modi / India — 07 Aug 2026
Cabinet approves GOBARdhan, Rs 23,731 cr compressed biogas scheme (FY27-FY36, Min of Petroleum). CGD entities (IGL, MGL, GUJGAS, ADANIGAS) are mandated CBG offtakers; refiners IOC/BPCL/HPCL co-invest.
Policy Pulse — Global — 06 Aug 2026
Hormuz draft finalized but path unclear; Brent rebounded (two-way, no longer a straight crash). India mixed: Sensex +374, defence charges (HAL, GRSE), PSU banks lead, FIIs turn net-bullish on futures. Q1 earnings top driver (Trent +26%). Energy/airlines event-driven.
Policy Pulse — Global — 05 Aug 2026
Hormuz deal as early as Wednesday, Brent <$80; US records (AMZN >$3T). India firms (Sensex +152) as RBI holds. HSBC sees $25B FII inflows. SELL energy (XOM, ONGC), BUY airlines (DAL, INDIGO).
Policy Pulse — Global — 04 Aug 2026
Hormuz talks stall, oil rebounds 1.4% (Brent ~5), India consolidates (Nifty -159 to 24,615) ahead of RBI Aug 5. Q1 earnings Ather +14%, BSE +62% drive select moves.
Policy Pulse — Ministries & Regulators — 04 Aug 2026
SEBI Closing Auction Session (CAS) live from Aug 3; windfall tax raised on fuel exports (negative for IOC, BPCL, HPCL, RELIANCE). BSE Q1 profit +62%, Ather +14%, Pidilite +27.7%.
Policy Pulse — Global — 03 Aug 2026
US-Iran de-escalation crashes crude 6%. India rallies: refiners (BPCL, HPCL, IOC), airlines (INDIGO), gas pure. US energy sells off (XOM, CVX); airlines gain.
Policy Pulse — Global — 30 Jul 2026
Fed hawkish hold sends yields to 2007 highs. Hormuz crude +7%. Adidas -19% record crash. Apple Siri AI upgrade. Reverse AI trade continues benefiting Indian IT. FII buying ₹2,982 Cr.
Policy Pulse — Global — 28 Jul 2026
North Korea to send 30,000 more troops to Russia (LMT, GD, PLTR bullish); KOSPI -10.8% triggers rotation to Indian IT; Iran ceasefire holds, crude basket down 32% from peak (IOC, BPCL benefit). Full geopolitical stock mapping inside.
Policy Pulse — Global Spillover — 27 Jul 2026
Global markets rally on US-Iran war pause — Sensex +776, S&P 500 +1%, oil crashes 7%. Indian refiners reverse from SELL to BUY. ONGC biggest loser. BEL strong Q1. Fed meeting + Big Tech earnings this week. Saudi strikes Houthis — Red Sea risk persists.
Policy Pulse — Global Spillover — 24 Jul 2026
Strait of Hormuz crisis at peak — 13th night of US strikes, Iran rejects ceasefire, oil above 00. Generic drug tariff timeline begins Aug 1. Section 122 expiry relief for importers. Stock impact: BUY oil/gas/defence/renewables, SELL airlines/refiners/generic pharma.
Policy Pulse — Global Spillover — 23 Jul 2026
INFY Q1: +12% PAT, guidance trimmed, ADR -4.85%. INDIGO: ₹238cr net loss on fuel costs (85% rise). CIPLA: -39% PAT. Hormuz: 12th night, Brent near 8. IOC/MRPL halt Iraq loadings. Section 122 expiry tomorrow benefits Indian IT/Textiles. ONGC gains, refiners bleed.
Policy Pulse — Global Spillover — 22 Jul 2026
US-Iran war enters 11th night of strikes; Trump threatens Iranian infrastructure. Hormuz closed — oil 5+, ONGC/OCD gain, refiners bleed. Trump generic drug tariff timeline hits TEVA, MYL globally. US-Jordan trade deal signed. Genesis B AI-for-science unveiled.
Policy Pulse — Modi / India — 22 Jul 2026
Nifty below 24,000 on Brent 5, IOCs halt Iraq oil loadings due to Hormuz (ONGC gains, IOC/BPCL/HPCL pressured). Trump generic drug tariff crushes Sun Pharma, Lupin, Cipla. Nestlé, Bajaj Auto shine on stellar Q1. Bandhan Bank -19% on RoA cut.
Policy Pulse — Global — 14 Jul 2026
Global cross-currents: Iran blockade drives oil stocks (XOM, ONGC) higher while hitting airlines (DAL, UAL); US-India trade talks progress; Indian defence exports surge 62% to record (HAL, BEL, SOLARINDS).