ONGC
2 deep-dives · 55 policy notes
What has moved ONGC
20 dated calls from the policy coverage · 12 positive · 3 negative · 5 watch
- Watch2026-10-19inferred
Upstream realisations depend on the crude marker, which fell about 1.4% on the waiver. India's producers benefit from a high Brent, so a de-escalation in the supply premium works against them even as it helps the refiners
Policy Pulse - Modi / India Govt - 19 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-16inferred
Sustained Brent above $100 with a war-risk premium that a strategic-stock release cannot clear supports upstream realisations and integrated refining margins
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 16 Oct 2026 - Watch2026-10-16inferred
Dollar-linked realisations and a firmer rupee pull in opposite directions; the net effect depends on the denominator each one books against
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 16 Oct 2026 - Watch2026-10-16inferred
"Enhanced energy cooperation" is the framing Washington uses for LNG and upstream offtake, which is where these three hold the listed exposure
Policy Pulse - Modi / India Govt - 16 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-15inferred
If the discounted Russian barrel becomes politically expensive to lift, the relative economics of domestic crude improve for the upstream producers
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 15 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-13inferred
If Russian barrels become politically expensive for Indian refiners, non-Russian grades tighten, which lifts realisations for domestic upstream producers
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 13 Oct 2026 - Watch2026-10-13inferred
A $104-106 Brent with a recovering rupee is a mixed input for Indian refiners, while the same price supports upstream realisations
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 13 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-12
Upstream realisations move with the benchmark on a lag, with no offsetting feedstock cost
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 12 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-10-09
Upstream producers are the mirror image; a softer crude tape trims realisations
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 09 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-08
Every dollar on the crude curve lifts realisations on Indian upstream production with no offsetting cost
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 08 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-08inferred
Refiners and upstream producers with dollar-linked realisations benefit from the currency move alongside the crude move
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 08 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-07
Upstream realisations rise with the official forecast revision
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 07 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-10-06
Upstream realisations move inversely with Brent
Policy Pulse - Global - 06 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-06
Higher-for-longer Brent forecasts support upstream realisation assumptions, even as spot falls
Policy Pulse - Global - 06 Oct 2026 - Negative2026-10-05
Lower realisations on domestic crude. Note the offset: upstream PSUs have traded inversely to the windfall levy, and a Brent retreat reduces the political pressure for levy increases
Policy Pulse - Global - 05 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-05
Domestic production becomes relatively more attractive against a Russian-barrel substitution scenario. This is a second-order effect, not a day-one trade
Policy Pulse - Global - 05 Oct 2026 - Watch2026-10-01
Upstream realisations track crude, not product levies. This is neutral for the producers and slightly negative for the fiscal take on the export side
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 01 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-10-01inferred
Rupee weakness supports realisations on dollar-denominated crude and gas sales, and Brent above $100 is a direct revenue input for the upstream ⚠️ inferred
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 01 Oct 2026 - Positive2026-09-30
Upstream realisations scale directly with the crude basket, and the $117.4 barrel print is a windfall relative to FY26's $66 average
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 30 Sep 2026 - Positive2026-09-16
Upstream realisations rise with Brent; India's import bill pain is these producers' revenue
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 16 Sep 2026
Deep-dive research
Policy Pulse — Ministries & Regulators — 21 Jul 2026
SEBI operationalises promoter share freeze for buybacks (Aug 1 deadline) — revived open market route; RBI FCNR flows at 0.72B; 230 products shortlisted for indigenisation (89B import substitution target). Impact: 🟢 BUY TCS, INFY, ITC, HDFCBANK (buyback), DIXON, HAL, BEL (indigenisation), SBI (FCNR)
Policy Pulse — Modi/India Govt — 21 Jul 2026
Nifty ends at 24,187.70 (-0.21%). TVS Motor (+51% PAT) & Bajaj Auto (+42% PAT) lead auto Q1; Govt shortlists 230 products for import substitution (89B); Maruti hikes prices ₹30K from Aug; SEBI operationalises buyback freeze. Crude at 9/bbl weighs. Impact: 🟢 BUY TVS, BAJAJ-AUTO, DIXON, HAL, TCS, ITC | 🔴 SELL INDIGO, SPICEJET, TITAN
Mentioned in Policy Pulse
Policy Pulse - Modi / India Govt - 19 Oct 2026
India's 100% tariff tail risk is gone: the Graham Act waiver removes the secondary duty that would have hit every Indian shipment, putting IOC, BPCL and HINDPETRO back on Russian crude without an export penalty, while WAAREEENER faces the one duty that was not waived.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 16 Oct 2026
MSCI proposed reclassifying Indonesia as a Standalone Market and the Jakarta Composite fell 11.1%, its worst day since 1998, pushing flows toward TCS, INFY and HDFCBANK as the cleaner emerging-market exposure. France and Germany agreed to soften the EU's 2035 combustion-engine ban, and the KOSPI rebounded 2.1%.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 15 Oct 2026
The KOSPI fell 7.57% with circuit breakers on both Korean boards and the Nikkei lost 4.90%, hitting MU, WDC and CRWV on Anthropic's decelerating growth and CoreWeave's bond selloff. India diverged as Nifty IT rose 1.82%, lifting TCS, INFY and TECHM, while IOC and BPCL stay exposed to the Graham Act's five-day deadline.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 13 Oct 2026
China's CXMT claimed a 4F2 DRAM design and the KOSPI fell 5.46%, hitting MU, AVGO and INTC while re-rating TCS, INFY and HCLTECH through Nifty IT's 5.22% gain. Five days out, the Graham Act had still produced no notice to Congress, leaving IOC, BPCL, ONGC and Sun Pharma exposed on the Indian side.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 12 Oct 2026
Brent topped USD 106 after a second deadly strike on Riyadh's airport and a tanker hit at Hormuz, positive for XOM, CVX and VLO and negative for DAL, UAL and IOC. Trump's Russian diesel deal capped the spike instead of reversing it, gold held near USD 4,180 with the US 30-year at 24-year highs, and Canada sent its largest trade mission to India in 30 years to push a trade deal.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 09 Oct 2026
Brent slipped to about USD 103 after Trump ruled out an Iran strike before the November 3 midterms, negative for XOM and CVX and positive for airlines and Indian oil marketers; a strong 30-year auction pulled the US long end back from a 24-year high; and the US-China 30-for-30 tariff lists named toys and appliances and medical devices, with the truce extended to January 10, 2027.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 08 Oct 2026
Brent rose 4.25 percent to USD 104.5 after Axios reported the Pentagon has been told to prepare for a possible resumption of major combat operations in Iran and Tropical Storm Isaias shut in a quarter of Gulf of Mexico output, positive for XOM, CVX and ONGC and negative for DAL, IOC and BPCL; hawkish September FOMC minutes kept the 10-year near 5.28 percent and the 30-year at 2002 levels, and India joined the US-led 15-country excess-capacity initiative while a Section 301 investigation into India's own industrial policies remains live.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 07 Oct 2026
The EIA raised its 2026 Brent forecast 8 percent to about USD 98 and lifted Q4 2026 to USD 105 with 4.5 million barrels per day still shut in, positive for XOM, CVX and ONGC and negative for DAL, UAL and Indian refiners IOC and BPCL. The 30-year Treasury yield held near its highest since 2002 with the September FOMC minutes due tonight and CME pricing an October hike near 20 percent, while French OAT yields kept rising and the euro sat near a 17-month low. Spot gold above USD 4,167 with the rupee at a five-month low of 97.03 is a translation positive for TCS and INFY and an input-cost negative for TITAN and MRF.
Policy Pulse - Global - 06 Oct 2026
Brent fell back below USD 100 to USD 98.33 as Hormuz transits and the Saudi East-West pipeline recovered and the G7's 100-million-barrel release began flowing - a cost tailwind for IOC, BPCL and INDIGO and a headwind for ONGC and XOM. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq printed new records on Tuesday as the 10-year Treasury eased to 5.26% from a 19-year high of 5.35%, the euro hit a 17-month low on French fiscal stress, and BMI Research raised its Q4 2026 Brent forecast to USD 107 a barrel while Kenanga went to USD 91 for 2026.
Policy Pulse - Global - 05 Oct 2026
The G7 began a coordinated 100-million-barrel IEA release with a frontloaded diesel leg after Trump's export-ban threat, splitting the crude market - Brent near $101.5 against WTI below $90 and Murban at $110.80 - which is positive for DAL, UAL and INDIGO and negative for VLO and PSX. The Lindsey Graham Act's secondary sanctions on Russian-crude buyers could be decided by October 18, a live risk for RELIANCE, IOC and BPCL, while the US-Ukraine fund's first $30 million minerals deal and China's rare-earth suspension extension to January 2027 lift MP and USAR.
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 01 Oct 2026
The Finance Ministry cut the diesel and ATF export levy for a second fortnight, positive for IOC, BPCL and RELIANCE, as GST crossed Rs 2 lakh crore for a third month and the manufacturing PMI hit a seven-month high of 55.1. SEBI cleared corporate bond index futures for the NSE, the AMCA prototype RFP closed on 30 October with LT, BEL, BHARATFORG, BEML and DATAPATTNS named in the three shortlisted consortia while HAL did not qualify, and the rupee closed at 96.31 into a live RBI hike risk on October 7.
Policy Pulse - Ministries & Regulators - 30 Sep 2026
The CGA put the fiscal deficit at 41.9% of the FY27 target with five months gone, the RBI reported a record $200bn net forward dollar book as the concessional FCNR(B) window closed, and SEBI's Pandey rebuilt FPI onboarding rails while confirming no exchange interoperability and no changes outside the CAS paper. BSE replaced Wipro in the Nifty 50, the Andaman offshore mineral auction returns on October 1, and SEBI's 215th Board rewrote PMS regulations for MOTILALOFS and BSE.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 16 Sep 2026
Brent held above USD 108 after Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline went offline, the Fed is set to deliver its first hike since 2023 with a 25bp move 94% priced, and the BoJ meets September 17-18 expected to lift rates to a 31-year high of 1.25%. ONGC and OIL gain on the crude bid while IOC, BPCL and HINDPETRO absorb negative marketing margins.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 15 Sep 2026
Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline is out for weeks, leaving Hormuz as the only channel and Brent above USD 107 - bullish ONGC and XOM, painful for IOC, BPCL, HINDPETRO and INDIGO. The US 10-year crossed 5% and sank the Sensex 778 points to 74,003.82, but the reverse-AI rotation finally fired: Nifty IT +2.19% led by HCLTECH, INFY and TCS.
Policy Pulse - Ministries/Regulators - 15 Sep 2026
The RBI rejected Tata Sons' CIC surrender on September 11, putting the Rs 2.01 lakh crore holding company on a mandatory listing path - a generational fee event for BSE, ANGELONE and MOTILALOFS. August CPI hit an 8-month high of 4.82% and WPI 9.92% (IOC, BPCL, HINDPETRO pressure) while NHAI debarred PNCINFRA for three years, sending it down 20%.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 11 Sep 2026
Brent's surge to a USD 107.63 close (highest since May 19) and a hot 0.3% core CPI pushed the US 10-year to about 4.95% and the 30-year to 19-year highs - buy energy (XOM, CVX, ONGC), sell airlines (DAL, UAL, INDIGO). BRICS opens in New Delhi with CBDC payment links and critical minerals on the agenda, not a common currency.
Policy Pulse - Ministries/Regulators - 11 Sep 2026
NSE priced its IPO at Rs 1,700-1,785 (~Rs 22,562 crore, opens Sep 17, listing circa Sep 24) with the issue down about 15% - a re-rating trigger for BSE and ANGELONE. Record August SIP flows of Rs 32,297 crore and Rs 87.08 trillion MF AUM lift HDFCAMC and NAM-INDIA, while Brent above USD 100 drives oil-marketing margins to Rs -5/litre petrol and Rs -23/litre diesel (IOC, BPCL, HINDPETRO negative).
Policy Pulse - PM Modi / India Govt - 11 Sep 2026
Modi hosts the 18th BRICS Summit (Sep 12-13) after a bilateral with Putin covering defence, nuclear, fertilisers, critical minerals and railways: HAL is the one named company, with IL-114 and Sukhoi Superjet 100 local manufacturing expanded (BEL, BDL inferred). India's digital-rupee CBDC settlement push lifts HDFCBANK and SBIN; discounted Russian crude at a record 51% import share helps IOC and BPCL.
Policy Pulse - Global Spillover - 10 Sep 2026
ECB hikes 25bp to a 2.50% deposit rate, its second hike of 2026, blaming Middle East energy costs. Brent holds above USD 100-102 after the US sank five Iranian tankers and Iran struck 10 vessels, with Hormuz flows below 2 mbpd. Buy energy (XOM, CVX, OXY, VLO), sell airlines (DAL, UAL) and India's OMCs (IOC, BPCL, HINDPETRO); ONGC benefits.
Policy Pulse - Global - 09 Sep 2026
Day 194: Brent tops USD 100 as the tanker war widens (5 more tankers destroyed, Iran threatens Gulf ports). India: Sensex -813 to a 3-month low, IT -3%, rupee 95.08; metals and energy gain. BUY ONGC/OIL/XOM, SELL IOC/INDIGO/DAL.
Policy Pulse - Global - 08 Sep 2026
Day 193 of Hormuz conflict: US strikes on 3 Iranian tankers and Houthi attacks on Saudi energy push Brent to ~USD 98; Goldman lifts Brent to USD 85 (Dec-26), disruptions seen into 2027. Rupee -0.35% to 94.81; BUY ONGC/OIL, SELL IOC/BPCL/INDIGO.
Policy Pulse - Global - 04 Sep 2026
Asia rallies Friday (Nikkei back above 65,000, Kospi +1.6%) on Waller hold hopes; then US jobs beat lifts Sept hike odds to 63%. Brent ~USD 95 on Day 189. India snaps 4-day fall: Sensex +363, metals/financials lead.
Policy Pulse - Global - 03 Sep 2026
Day 188: Brent tops USD 97, touches USD 99 - BUY XOM, ONGC; SELL DAL, INDIGO. Asia mixed (KOSPI rebounds). US hike odds slide to 54%. Sensex -417, Bank Nifty +0.36%, rupee 94.59.
Policy Pulse - Global - 02 Sep 2026
Global risk-off Day 187: KOSPI -4%, Nikkei -2.9%, bond rout (US 10-yr 4.8%, JGB 3%). Brent $95. India Sensex -374 but FIIs net buy Rs 6,688 cr. BUY ONGC, COALINDIA; SELL INDIGO, WIPRO.
Policy Pulse - Global - 01 Sep 2026
Brent +2% to $92 on Hormuz re-escalation (Day 186); India Q1 GDP 7.8% beats all forecasts; Fed hike bets. BUY XOM, ONGC; SELL DAL, INDIGO.
Policy Pulse — Global Spillover — 26 Aug 2026
US-Canada trade war threatens North American supply chains; Hormuz remains two-way risk; G20 Trade Ministerial preview
Policy Pulse — Modi & Trump — 19-20 Aug 2026
Trump pauses 50% Canada tariffs (Section 338), Modi appeals for economic self-reliance, SEBI modifies disclosure framework, RBI MPC minutes signal possible rate hike
Policy Pulse — Ministries/Regulators — 18 Aug 2026
MoD signs Rs 1,943 cr MQ-9B drone lease with General Atomics; Nifty falls 6th straight session to 24,155 on crude above $90
Policy Pulse — Global — 17 Aug 2026
Crude ~$89.50 on the indefinite Hormuz blockade + Wednesday FOMC minutes loom; India gets a sector catalyst from Modi's I-Day AI/defence agenda — BUY energy (XOM), SELL airlines; BUY Indian IT/defence
Policy Pulse — Modi / India Govt — 17 Aug 2026
PM Modi's Aug 15 Independence Day address: train 1 crore youth in AI, defence self-reliance (Sudarshan Chakra), nuclear + semiconductor build-out — BUY IT (TCS/INFY) and defence (HAL/BEL), watch nuclear (BHEL/LT)
Policy Pulse — Global — 14 Aug 2026
US indefinite-Hormuz-blockade threat + IEA supply cut (4.3M bpd) fuel a ~6% weekly oil rally — BUY XOM/CVX/OXY, SELL DAL/UAL; India refiners under pressure as rupee dips; only a signed deal flips the trade
Policy Pulse — Global — 06 Aug 2026
Hormuz draft finalized but path unclear; Brent rebounded (two-way, no longer a straight crash). India mixed: Sensex +374, defence charges (HAL, GRSE), PSU banks lead, FIIs turn net-bullish on futures. Q1 earnings top driver (Trent +26%). Energy/airlines event-driven.
Policy Pulse — Ministries & Regulators — 06 Aug 2026
SEBI FY27 agenda: LODR review, SLB revamp, fast-track AIF, corporate-bond tokenisation pilot, Jagrook. Buy-back open-market route live (Aug 1, <15% cap). Defence stocks fire (HAL, BEL, GRSE); PSU banks lead; Sensex +374, Nifty flat on CAS/expiry. Q1 earnings drive moves (Trent +26%).
Policy Pulse — Global — 05 Aug 2026
Hormuz deal as early as Wednesday, Brent <$80; US records (AMZN >$3T). India firms (Sensex +152) as RBI holds. HSBC sees $25B FII inflows. SELL energy (XOM, ONGC), BUY airlines (DAL, INDIGO).
Policy Pulse — Global — 04 Aug 2026
Hormuz talks stall, oil rebounds 1.4% (Brent ~5), India consolidates (Nifty -159 to 24,615) ahead of RBI Aug 5. Q1 earnings Ather +14%, BSE +62% drive select moves.
Policy Pulse — Ministries & Regulators — 04 Aug 2026
SEBI Closing Auction Session (CAS) live from Aug 3; windfall tax raised on fuel exports (negative for IOC, BPCL, HPCL, RELIANCE). BSE Q1 profit +62%, Ather +14%, Pidilite +27.7%.
Policy Pulse — Global — 03 Aug 2026
US-Iran de-escalation crashes crude 6%. India rallies: refiners (BPCL, HPCL, IOC), airlines (INDIGO), gas pure. US energy sells off (XOM, CVX); airlines gain.
Policy Pulse — Global — 31 Jul 2026
US pharma Section 232 tariffs live (branded protected, generics exempt). India Samudra Manthan energy-security capex (ONGC, OIL). Markets stabilize post-Fed.
Policy Pulse — PM Modi / India Govt — 31 Jul 2026
Cabinet approves Samudra Manthan ₹84,084 cr offshore exploration (BUY ONGC, OIL) and PM-SSY ₹5,070 cr floating solar+storage (TATAPOWER, SJVN, NHPC, EXIDEIND).
Policy Pulse — Global — 30 Jul 2026
Fed hawkish hold sends yields to 2007 highs. Hormuz crude +7%. Adidas -19% record crash. Apple Siri AI upgrade. Reverse AI trade continues benefiting Indian IT. FII buying ₹2,982 Cr.
Policy Pulse — Ministries & Regulators — 30 Jul 2026
Q1 earnings heavy day: Vedanta +152% PAT, Bajaj Finance +29%, Tata Steel +19%. Nifty Auto +1.63% leads markets. GRSE ₹1,032 Cr order. NLC India 900 MW solar win. FIIs net buyers at ₹2,982 Cr.
Policy Pulse — PM Modi — 30 Jul 2026
PM chairs 2nd high-level meeting with Secretaries on Iran War response. Defence and energy security remain top priorities. GRSE ₹1,032 Cr order adds defence tailwind.
Policy Pulse — Global — 28 Jul 2026
North Korea to send 30,000 more troops to Russia (LMT, GD, PLTR bullish); KOSPI -10.8% triggers rotation to Indian IT; Iran ceasefire holds, crude basket down 32% from peak (IOC, BPCL benefit). Full geopolitical stock mapping inside.
Policy Pulse — Ministries & India Markets — 28 Jul 2026
SEBI PMS overhaul opens MF-only category (MOTILALOFS, HDFCAMC bullish); Nifty IT rallies 3.7% on reverse AI trade (TCS, INFY, COFORGE); BEL Q1 profit +8.2% with ₹72K cr order book; HUL -7% on profit miss; Coal India flat. Full stock impact inside.
Policy Pulse — Global Spillover — 27 Jul 2026
Global markets rally on US-Iran war pause — Sensex +776, S&P 500 +1%, oil crashes 7%. Indian refiners reverse from SELL to BUY. ONGC biggest loser. BEL strong Q1. Fed meeting + Big Tech earnings this week. Saudi strikes Houthis — Red Sea risk persists.
Policy Pulse — Modi/Govt — 27 Jul 2026
India relief rally — Sensex +776 pts breaks 5-day losing streak. Crude crash + US-Iran pause drive broad gains. INFY +3.65%, INDIGO +4.51%, ONGC -3.96%. No new cabinet decisions today. Existing Semicon 2.0/BHAVYA Rasayan tailwinds remain.
Policy Pulse — Global Spillover — 24 Jul 2026
Strait of Hormuz crisis at peak — 13th night of US strikes, Iran rejects ceasefire, oil above 00. Generic drug tariff timeline begins Aug 1. Section 122 expiry relief for importers. Stock impact: BUY oil/gas/defence/renewables, SELL airlines/refiners/generic pharma.
Policy Pulse — Global Spillover — 23 Jul 2026
INFY Q1: +12% PAT, guidance trimmed, ADR -4.85%. INDIGO: ₹238cr net loss on fuel costs (85% rise). CIPLA: -39% PAT. Hormuz: 12th night, Brent near 8. IOC/MRPL halt Iraq loadings. Section 122 expiry tomorrow benefits Indian IT/Textiles. ONGC gains, refiners bleed.
Policy Pulse — Global Spillover — 22 Jul 2026
US-Iran war enters 11th night of strikes; Trump threatens Iranian infrastructure. Hormuz closed — oil 5+, ONGC/OCD gain, refiners bleed. Trump generic drug tariff timeline hits TEVA, MYL globally. US-Jordan trade deal signed. Genesis B AI-for-science unveiled.
Policy Pulse — Ministries & Regulators — 22 Jul 2026
RBI collateral norms (100% BG) ongoing impact — negative for exchanges (BSE, MCX) & brokerages (Angel One, Zerodha, IIFL), positive for banks (HDFC Bank, ICICI). SEBI buyback rule amendment positive for cash-rich cos (TCS, Infy, ITC, Coal India). SEBI enforcement action on Pace Stock Broking.
Policy Pulse — Modi / India — 22 Jul 2026
Nifty below 24,000 on Brent 5, IOCs halt Iraq oil loadings due to Hormuz (ONGC gains, IOC/BPCL/HPCL pressured). Trump generic drug tariff crushes Sun Pharma, Lupin, Cipla. Nestlé, Bajaj Auto shine on stellar Q1. Bandhan Bank -19% on RoA cut.
Policy Pulse — Global — 17 Jul 2026
Strait of Hormuz escalation: buy XOM, CVX, OXY, EOG; sell DAL, UAL, AAL, CCL, RCL. Section 301 deadline Jul 20: buy WMT, TGT, COST if Section 122 lapses; sell TCS, INFY, WIPRO, SUNPHARMA if 12.5% tariff hits.
Policy Pulse — Ministries — 17 Jul 2026
SEBI buyback amendment (Aug 1) positive for TCS, INFY, ITC, COALINDIA, ONGC. RBI CME norms negative for BSE, ANGELONE, ZERODHA, IIFL, MOTILALOFS. Markets rally 1.25% ahead of bank earnings.
Policy Pulse — Global — 14 Jul 2026
Global cross-currents: Iran blockade drives oil stocks (XOM, ONGC) higher while hitting airlines (DAL, UAL); US-India trade talks progress; Indian defence exports surge 62% to record (HAL, BEL, SOLARINDS).
Policy Pulse — Global Spillover — 09 Jul 2026
Iran-US conflict escalates as Trump declares MoU 'over'. Iran strikes 85 US sites; oil surges to 8/barrel. Global markets sell off (Nifty -2.23%, KOSPI -5.35%). US approves Tomahawk missile sale to Germany. India's defence stocks and oil producers emerge as relative winners.